Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.000252 0.000282 0.000313 0.000350 0.000391 0.000436 0.000490
2025-02-02 0.000205 0.000248 0.000299 0.000364 0.000445 0.000544 0.000673
2025-02-09 0.000169 0.000217 0.000278 0.000360 0.000471 0.000615 0.000821
2025-02-16 0.000147 0.000198 0.000266 0.000363 0.000502 0.000695 0.000990
2025-02-23 0.000129 0.000181 0.000252 0.000360 0.000522 0.000759 0.001143
2025-03-02 0.000117 0.000169 0.000244 0.000362 0.000548 0.000834 0.001323
2025-03-09 0.000106 0.000157 0.000235 0.000361 0.000567 0.000901 0.001499
2025-03-16 0.000093 0.000142 0.000218 0.000345 0.000560 0.000922 0.001601
2025-03-23 0.000086 0.000135 0.000212 0.000347 0.000583 0.000995 0.001804
2025-03-30 0.000083 0.000133 0.000214 0.000360 0.000627 0.001110 0.002104
2025-04-06 0.000075 0.000124 0.000204 0.000352 0.000630 0.001153 0.002269
2025-04-13 0.000067 0.000113 0.000189 0.000334 0.000613 0.001153 0.002348
2025-04-20 0.000063 0.000108 0.000186 0.000337 0.000638 0.001242 0.002635
2025-04-27 0.000061 0.000107 0.000189 0.000352 0.000690 0.001393 0.003096
2025-05-04 0.000057 0.000101 0.000182 0.000349 0.000701 0.001464 0.003384
2025-05-11 0.000054 0.000098 0.000179 0.000352 0.000728 0.001571 0.003785
2025-05-18 0.000050 0.000093 0.000174 0.000349 0.000741 0.001647 0.004124
2025-05-25 0.000048 0.000090 0.000171 0.000351 0.000766 0.001756 0.004571
2025-06-01 0.000045 0.000086 0.000167 0.000350 0.000783 0.001849 0.004998
2025-06-08 0.000041 0.000080 0.000157 0.000334 0.000764 0.001847 0.005148
2025-06-15 0.000039 0.000077 0.000154 0.000336 0.000787 0.001959 0.005671
2025-06-22 0.000039 0.000077 0.000157 0.000349 0.000840 0.002160 0.006525
2025-06-29 0.000036 0.000073 0.000151 0.000341 0.000838 0.002210 0.006895